Forecasts that feed loops, not decks.
Forecasting combines demand history and channel signals into scenario plans that directly update safety stock and reorder logic. Committed scenarios become operational instructions, not static reports.
Scenario-based
Base, upside, and downside scenarios side by side
Loop-connected
Committed scenario updates safety stock thresholds directly
Signal-fed
Channel demand signals adjust forecast posture in real time
Scenario planning without spreadsheet drift
Base, upside, and downside paths are versioned and compared in one workspace. Once a scenario is committed, threshold controls update in-line so planning decisions propagate immediately to operations.
- - Scenario variants by SKU and planning horizon
- - Versioning with draft and committed state
- - Side-by-side variance comparison
- - Commit action pushes threshold updates in real time
| Metric | Base | Upside | Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon | 12w | 12w | 12w |
| Peak week demand | 1,840 | 2,120 | 1,460 |
| Safety stock | 420 | 560 | 300 |
| Reorder point | 1,680 | 1,920 | 1,240 |
Forecast quality · LMB-BRS-001
Forecast accuracy
91.3%
Bias
-2.1%
MAD
43
Demand signal adjusted forecast +12% on Mar 4 · Shopify
Statistical baseline, signal adjusted
Baseline projections use trend and seasonality, then real-time demand signals adjust scenario posture. Manual overrides remain explicit and versioned to keep decision paths transparent.
- - Statistical baseline with trend and seasonality decomposition
- - Real-time signal adjustment from channel demand events
- - Manual override layer tracked separately from baseline
- - Forecast bias and accuracy tracked per period
Forecast to threshold in one step
Committing a scenario recalculates safety stock and reorder levels instantly. Replenishment reads updated controls on the next inventory check, so planning decisions translate into operations immediately.
- - Safety stock recalculated from demand variability
- - Reorder points updated across affected locations
- - Replenishment engine consumes updated thresholds immediately
- - Threshold changes logged against scenario reference
Scenario committed
Before
Safety stock: 300
Reorder point: 1,200
After
Safety stock: 420
Reorder point: 1,680
Bond Repair Serum · DC-East · 2 SKUs updated
Built for planners
Forecasting is the Decide pillar where demand intelligence becomes operational instruction. A committed scenario is a live threshold update, not a disconnected planning artifact.
API and integration
- REST API - scenario CRUD, baseline retrieval, and threshold update endpoints
- Forecast scenario services for custom planning workflows
- Loop integration writes threshold configs consumed by replenishment
Related modules
A forecast that changes your supply plan
Book a 30-minute demo. We will run base, upside, and downside scenarios on your SKUs.
Book a demo